Karl Rove has been out there (so to speak) predicting a Rmoney win. Is it just a pep talk to set expectations? Does he really believe it? Could it happen?
Sam Wang of Princeton Election Consortium, a.k.a. mindgeek at Kos, says it's a matter of national vs. state polls. Wang concludes this: "To put it into plain English: If state polls are accurate on the whole, then Obama will win."
For why this is so, and why it reflects the likelier case, and if you have a geeky disposition, read the Kos post. But do keep an eye on the Princeton numbers.
What will we see Tuesday? Hell if I know. Wang seems to think we'll see an Obama win. Only time will tell. But I do think Rove would be calling it for his candidate even if he didn't believe it. Some people are just born liars.
Listen! That sound you hear is the shredding of the social contract. - Bill Moyers
I sense that Obama will win the Presidency, but lose the Congress. It will be the same o'l same old. It won't be a lame duck as much as a cooked goose for the Dem's.
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